Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NFL Standings, Week 12

A couple of notes from Week 12's slate of games:

After Jim Schwartz cost his team a touchdown on Thanksgiving, the story was how the rule was unfair and how it needs to be changed this offseason. If you missed it, Schwartz threw his challenge flag on a scoring play (which coaches can't challenge because it's automatically looked at). Throwing the red flag in this situation costs the coach's team 15 yards, but it also removes the possibility of a referee review unless the reviewer upstairs has already asked for it. Essentially, the rule prevents a coach from throwing his flag to buy the upstairs reviewer more time to decide to have the referee review the play. Schwartz had this to say about it:

"I knew the rule -- you can't challenge on a turnover or a scoring play -- but I was so mad that I overreacted," said Schwartz, whose temper got the best of him during a postgame handshake last year with San Francisco coach Jim Harbaugh. "I had the flag in my hand before he even scored because he was obviously down."
Shouldn't we expect that coaches be able to control their emotions enough to not throw a challenge flag when they know there's nothing they can do about it? The system would have worked fine (there's no way that play wouldn't have been reviewed and reversed), except that Schwartz had a moment of colossal stupidity. Why do we need to protect a coach from that? It seems pretty simple to me, don't be an idiot, and there's no problem with the rule.
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I mentioned this in an earlier post, but here is the Mark Sanchez moment of epic failure from Thanksgiving night.
Like I said then, be very thankful this man is not your starting quarterback (sorry, Jets fans). 
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One sign I can point to that I have matured...some. A loss like the Seahawks' loss to the Dolphins last weekend would have sent me into a complete emotional tailspin 8-10 years ago. I would have been been in a total funk for the rest of the day, and maybe into this week. Now, well, I'm 30, I have a wife (who loves football, but not football-induced funks), I have a son, and I can't afford to go into a days-long funk just because my team lost. What happens now is, I go into a football-watching funk. I'm much less interested in any more games that day, even if they're good ones. I just can't bring myself to enjoy games that remind me that the team I root for failed miserably earlier that day. 

Hey, I didn't say I was mature, just that I had matured. 
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Perhaps the ultimate Norv! moment for these Chargers: The Ravens faced 4th and 29 on their own half of the field, where a failed conversion would mean the end of the game and a loss. Joe Flacco flaccos the situation, dumping the ball off to Ray Rice maybe a couple of yards ahead of the line of scrimmage, leaving Ray to pick up the remaining 27+ yards on his own. 

And he did it. Somehow, the Chargers failed to stop Ray Rice despite having 27+ yards to do it. I'd say only the Chargers here, but I'm pretty sure the Eagles could pull this off too. 
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Here are the updated NFL standings through week 12:

AFC
AFC EAST
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
New England Patriots
8
3
0
0.727
7-1
4-0
0.449
0.483
Miami Dolphins
5
6
0
0.455
3-5
1-2
0.427
0.467
New York Jets
4
7
0
0.364
3-5
2-3
0.466
0.595
Buffalo Bills
4
7
0
0.364
3-6
1-3
0.295
0.517
AFC NORTH
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Baltimore Ravens
9
2
0
0.818
8-1
4-0
0.394
0.430
Pittsburgh Steelers
6
5
0
0.545
3-5
1-2
0.394
0.438
Cincinnati Bengals
6
5
0
0.545
4-5
1-3
0.318
0.430
Cleveland Browns
3
8
0
0.273
3-5
2-3
0.485
0.545
AFC SOUTH
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Houston Texans
10
1
0
0.909
8-0
3-0
0.455
0.471
Indianapolis Colts
7
4
0
0.636
5-3
2-1
0.403
0.438
Tennessee Titans
4
7
0
0.364
3-5
0-3
0.432
0.529
Jacksonville Jaguars
2
9
0
0.182
2-5
2-3
0.500
0.595
AFC WEST
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Denver Broncos
8
3
0
0.727
6-2
4-0
0.364
0.496
San Diego Chargers
4
7
0
0.364
4-4
3-2
0.205
0.479
Oakland Raiders
3
8
0
0.273
3-5
1-2
0.273
0.512
Kansas City Chiefs
1
10
0
0.091
0-8
0-4
0.455
0.537


NFC
NFC EAST
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
New York Giants
7
4
0
0.636
6-2
2-2
0.487
0.475
Washington Redskins
5
6
0
0.455
5-4
2-1
0.455
0.508
Dallas Cowboys
5
6
0
0.455
4-5
2-2
0.400
0.554
Philadelphia Eagles
3
8
0
0.273
1-7
1-2
0.576
0.504
NFC NORTH
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Chicago Bears
8
3
0
0.727
5-2
2-1
0.403
0.504
Green Bay Packers
7
4
0
0.636
5-3
2-0
0.487
0.545
Minnesota Vikings
6
5
0
0.545
4-4
2-1
0.402
0.483
Detroit Lions
4
7
0
0.364
3-5
0-4
0.352
0.537
NFC SOUTH
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Atlanta Falcons
10
1
0
0.909
6-1
2-1
0.382
0.388
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6
5
0
0.545
3-5
2-2
0.303
0.430
New Orleans Saints
5
6
0
0.455
3-4
2-1
0.473
0.483
Carolina Panthers
3
8
0
0.273
3-7
1-3
0.394
0.570
NFC WEST
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
San Francisco 49ers
8
2
1
0.773
6-2-1
2-0-1
0.477
0.492
Seattle Seahawks
6
5
0
0.545
4-4
0-3
0.500
0.488
St. Louis Rams
4
6
1
0.409
4-3-1
3-0-1
0.432
0.525
Arizona Cardinals
4
7
0
0.364
2-6
1-3
0.500
0.550


And here is the playoff picture through week 12:

AFC
CURRENT PLAYOFF PICTURE
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Houston Texans
10
1
0
0.909
8-0
3-0
0.455
0.471
Baltimore Ravens
9
2
0
0.818
8-1
4-0
0.394
0.430
New England Patriots
8
3
0
0.727
7-1
4-0
0.449
0.483
Denver Broncos
8
3
0
0.727
6-2
4-0
0.364
0.496
Indianapolis Colts
7
4
0
0.636
5-3
2-1
0.403
0.438
Pittsburgh Steelers
6
5
0
0.545
3-5
1-2
0.394
0.438
Cincinnati Bengals
6
5
0
0.545
4-5
1-3
0.318
0.430
Miami Dolphins
5
6
0
0.455
3-5
1-2
0.427
0.467


NFC
CURRENT PLAYOFF PICTURE
Team
W
L
T
Pct
Conference
Division
SOV
SOS
Atlanta Falcons
10
1
0
0.909
6-1
2-1
0.382
0.388
San Francisco 49ers
8
2
1
0.773
6-2-1
2-0-1
0.477
0.492
Chicago Bears
8
3
0
0.727
5-2
2-1
0.403
0.504
New York Giants
7
4
0
0.636
6-2
2-2
0.487
0.475
Green Bay Packers
7
4
0
0.636
5-3
2-0
0.487
0.545
Seattle Seahawks
6
5
0
0.545
4-4
0-3
0.500
0.488
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6
5
0
0.545
3-5
2-2
0.303
0.430
Minnesota Vikings
6
5
0
0.545
4-4
2-1
0.402
0.483
Washington Redskins
5
6
0
0.455
5-4
2-1
0.455
0.508
Dallas Cowboys
5
6
0
0.455
4-5
2-2
0.400
0.554
New Orleans Saints
5
6
0
0.455
3-4
2-1
0.473
0.483


Interesting notes: 
  • The playoff picture has no new teams compared to last week. There would be 3 new teams from last year (Indianapolis, Chicago, and Seattle)
  • Since the NFL moved to the 4 divisions per conference format in 2002, there has never been more than 8 playoff teams returning from the previous season. The average number of repeat playoff teams is 6.  
  • The remaining schedules for all teams in the playoff picture (AFC): 
    • Houston (.582) -- hardest
    • Baltimore (.582) -- hardest
    • New England (.555)
    • Denver (.400) -- easiest
    • Indianapolis (.527)
    • Pittsburgh (.527)
    • Cincinnati (.527)
  • The remaining schedules for all teams in the playoff picture (NFC): 
    • Atlanta (.455) -- easiest
    • San Francisco (.500)
    • Chicago (.491)
    • New York Giants (.582)
    • Green Bay (.509)
    • Seattle (.527)
    • Tampa Bay (.555)
    • Minnesota (.664) -- hardest
    • Washington (.491)
    • Dallas (.455)
    • New Orleans (.564) 
  • The division races are laughable this year. Out of 8 divisions, exactly 2 feature division leads of 2 games or less: The NFC East (2 games) and NFC North (1 game). 
  • On that note, the Patriots clinch the AFC East with a win this week. Denver clinches the AFC West with a win or a San Diego loss. Baltimore and Atlanta could clinch this week as well, if everything breaks right. 
  • On the other hand, we are set up for some good wild card races, especially in the NFC, where 7 teams are vying for 2 spots. 
A Quick Look Ahead to Week 13:

New Orleans at Atlanta (Thursday, 8:20 PM) - If New Orleans can go into Atlanta on a short week and pull this one off, they become very scary to all of the other wild card hopefuls. If they can't complete that tall task, they likely fall behind the 6th spot 2 games with 4 to play and 5 conference losses.
Seattle at Chicago (Sunday, 1:00 PM) - Seattle's loss to Miami makes this almost a must-win for the Seahawks' playoff hopes, which would give them the tiebreaker over both Chicago and Green Bay. The impending loss of both their starting cornerbacks also makes this game crucial. Their road history doesn't bode well.
New England at Miami (Sunday, 1:00 PM) - Yes, you read that right above, the Patriots clinch the division with a win.
Minnesota at Green Bay (Sunday, 1:00 PM) - Minnesota desperately needs a win here, as their final 4 games are CHI, @STL, @HOU, GB.
Tampa Bay at Denver (Sunday, 4:05 PM) - One of 2 games Denver has any chance of losing the rest of their season.
Pittsburgh at Baltimore (Sunday, 4:25 PM) - Pittsburgh needs Roethlisberger back for this one.
New York Giants at Washington (Monday, 8:30 PM) - Score one for ESPN, as this game is miles better than NBC's Sunday Night game (Eagles-Cowboys). Either Washington's playoff hopes go away as soon as they got life, or the NFC East gets very interesting.

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