Thursday, November 29, 2012

NFL Picks, Week 13 - Thursday Night Game

ATLANTA (-3.5) over New Orleans

90% of this pick is the fact that the game is tonight, on a short week. It's just too much of an advantage for the home team, unless there is a huge discrepancy in talent between the two teams.

Look at the road winners post week 1 in midweek games:
Giants over Panthers
Buccaneers over Vikings
Colts over Jaguars
Texans over Lions
Redskins over Cowboys
Patriots over Jets

That's 13 games, and just 2 exceptions, the Buccaneers and Redskins. For 2 teams that have been so closely matched in recent seasons, this is enough to tip the scales toward the Falcons.

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