Suck for Luck Picture, Week 14

Current NFL Draft Order

Rk	Team	W	L	T	Pct	SOS	Conf	Div
1	Indianapolis	0	13	0	.000	.550	0-9	0-3
2	St. Louis	2	11	0	.154	.556	1-10	0-5
3	Minnesota	2	11	0	.154	.574	2-7	0-5
4	Carolina	4	9	0	.308	.479	2-8	1-3
5	Washington	4	9	0	.308	.479	4-5	1-3
6	Cleveland	4	9	0	.308	.497	3-7	0-4
7	Miami	4	9	0	.308	.509	3-6	1-2
8	Jacksonville	4	9	0	.308	.533	3-7	2-2
9	Tampa Bay	4	9	0	.308	.550	3-6	2-2
10	Kansas City	5	8	0	.385	.479	3-7	2-2
11	Philadelphia	5	8	0	.385	.491	4-6	3-1
12	Buffalo	5	8	0	.385	.503	3-6	1-3
13	Arizona	6	7	0	.462	.467	6-5	3-2
14	Seattle	6	7	0	.462	.485	5-4	3-1
15	San Diego	6	7	0	.462	.509	5-5	2-3

The first tiebreaker for draft position is strength of schedule (lower SOS gets the higher pick in round 1).
After SOS, the next tie-breakers are conference record and division record. After that it comes down to a coin flip.

Remaining Schedules:
Indianapolis: TEN, HOU, @JAX
St. Louis: CIN, @PIT, SF
Minnesota: NO, @WAS, CHI
Carolina: @HOU, TB, @NO
Washington: @NYG, MIN, @PHI
Cleveland: @ARI, @BAL, PIT
Miami: @BUF, @NE, NYJ
Jacksonville: @ATL, @TEN, IND
Tampa Bay: DAL, @CAR, @ATL
Kansas City: GB, OAK, @DEN
Philadelphia: NYJ, @DAL, WAS
Buffalo: MIA, DEN, @NE
Arizona: CLE, @CIN, SEA
Seattle: @CHI, SF, @ARI
San Diego: BAL, @DET, @OAK

The suspense has been largely removed from the top of the draft, as the top 3 spots are unlikely to change.

Where it will get interesting is in the 4-10 spots, as there will be a bunch of teams finishing with 4 or 5 wins. Much has been made of the haul Indy could get for Luck if they decide to bet the next 3-5 years of their franchise on Peyton Manning's neck (hint: don't do it). But depending on where teams like Miami, Washington, and Cleveland fall, the Rams and Vikings could find themselves in a position to get a bundle for their picks, so other teams desperate for quarterbacks can secure Matt Barkley or Robert Griffin III.

As a fan of the Seahawks, I am concerned they won't get their quarterback of the future in this draft, which was clearly the plan. They were supposedly high on Andy Dalton, and they had their chance to get him, but they chose to go in a different direciton. They shored up their OLine, and used free agency to bring in weapons...and then they signed Tarvaris Jackson to a short, cheap deal to bridge the gap from Matthew Hasselbeck to the next guy. Everything was set up to grab that guy in the 2012 draft. Then they won a couple games they had no business winning, and all of a sudden, that plan is in jeopardy*. I think they'll still get their man though, but it will take more creativity than was expected.

*And for the record, I'm thrilled they won those games and thus torpedoed their chances of easily obtaining their QB of the future. Tanking games to improve draft position only breeds bad things, culture-wise.