|
AFC
|
||||||||
|
AFC
EAST
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
z-New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
11-1
|
6-0
|
0.466
|
0.496
|
|
Miami Dolphins
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
5-7
|
2-4
|
0.415
|
0.500
|
|
New York Jets
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
0.375
|
4-8
|
2-4
|
0.401
|
0.512
|
|
Buffalo Bills
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
0.375
|
4-8
|
1-5
|
0.281
|
0.480
|
|
AFC
NORTH
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
y-Baltimore Ravens
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
8-4
|
4-2
|
0.438
|
0.496
|
|
x-Cincinnati Bengals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
3-3
|
0.381
|
0.438
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.438
|
0.465
|
|
Cleveland Browns
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
0.313
|
5-7
|
2-4
|
0.388
|
0.508
|
|
AFC
SOUTH
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
y-Houston Texans
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
10-2
|
5-1
|
0.432
|
0.496
|
|
x-Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
4-2
|
0.403
|
0.441
|
|
Tennessee Titans
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
0.375
|
5-7
|
1-5
|
0.344
|
0.512
|
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
0.125
|
2-10
|
2-4
|
0.531
|
0.539
|
|
AFC
WEST
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
c-Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
10-2
|
6-0
|
0.385
|
0.457
|
|
San Diego Chargers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
7-5
|
4-2
|
0.286
|
0.457
|
|
Oakland Raiders
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
4-8
|
2-4
|
0.219
|
0.469
|
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
0.125
|
0-12
|
0-6
|
0.438
|
0.516
|
|
x-clinched
playoff spot, y-clinched division title, z-clinched first round bye,
c-clinched conference title
|
||||||||
|
NFC
|
||||||||
|
NFC
EAST
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
y-Washington Redskins
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
8-4
|
5-1
|
0.450
|
0.494
|
|
New York Giants
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
0.563
|
8-4
|
3-3
|
0.490
|
0.521
|
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.422
|
0.523
|
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
2-10
|
1-5
|
0.484
|
0.508
|
|
NFC
NORTH
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
y-Green Bay Packers
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
5-1
|
0.440
|
0.508
|
|
x-Minnesota Vikings
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
4-2
|
0.456
|
0.520
|
|
Chicago Bears
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
3-3
|
0.403
|
0.512
|
|
Detroit Lions
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
3-9
|
0-6
|
0.383
|
0.566
|
|
NFC
SOUTH
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
c-Atlanta Falcons
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
9-3
|
3-3
|
0.418
|
0.422
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.464
|
0.516
|
|
New Orleans Saints
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.446
|
0.521
|
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
4-8
|
3-3
|
0.446
|
0.502
|
|
NFC
WEST
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
z-San Francisco 49ers
|
11
|
4
|
1
|
0.719
|
7-4-1
|
3-2-1
|
0.477
|
0.504
|
|
x-Seattle Seahawks
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
3-3
|
0.534
|
0.504
|
|
St. Louis Rams
|
7
|
8
|
1
|
0.469
|
6-5-1
|
4-1-1
|
0.496
|
0.539
|
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
0.313
|
3-9
|
1-5
|
0.475
|
0.559
|
|
x-clinched
playoff spot, y-clinched division title, z-clinched first round bye,
c-clinched conference title
|
||||||||
And here is the final playoff picture:
|
AFC
|
||||||||
|
CURRENT
PLAYOFF PICTURE
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
c-Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
10-2
|
6-0
|
0.385
|
0.457
|
|
z-New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
11-1
|
6-0
|
0.466
|
0.496
|
|
y-Houston Texans
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
10-2
|
5-1
|
0.432
|
0.496
|
|
y-Baltimore Ravens
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
8-4
|
4-2
|
0.438
|
0.496
|
|
x-Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
4-2
|
0.403
|
0.441
|
|
x-Cincinnati Bengals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
3-3
|
0.381
|
0.438
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.438
|
0.465
|
|
NFC
|
||||||||
|
CURRENT
PLAYOFF PICTURE
|
||||||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
|
c-Atlanta Falcons
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
9-3
|
3-3
|
0.418
|
0.422
|
|
z-San Francisco 49ers
|
11
|
4
|
1
|
0.719
|
7-4-1
|
3-2-1
|
0.477
|
0.504
|
|
y-Green Bay Packers
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
5-1
|
0.440
|
0.508
|
|
y-Washington Redskins
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
8-4
|
5-1
|
0.450
|
0.494
|
|
x-Seattle Seahawks
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
3-3
|
0.534
|
0.504
|
|
x-Minnesota Vikings
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
4-2
|
0.456
|
0.520
|
|
Chicago Bears
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
7-5
|
3-3
|
0.403
|
0.512
|
We'll get to the playoffs soon, but let's now take a look back on my preseason predictions. Below is a table with each team's actual 2012 record side by side with the record I predicted:
|
AFC
|
|||||||
|
|
Actual
|
Predicted
|
Diff
|
||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
|
Miami Dolphins
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
-3
|
|
New York Jets
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
1
|
|
Buffalo Bills
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
3
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0
|
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
-1
|
|
Pittsbugh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
1
|
|
Cleveland Browns
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
3
|
13
|
0
|
-2
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Houston Texans
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
-5
|
|
Tennessee Titans
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
1
|
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
3
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
-2
|
|
San Diego Chargers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
1
|
|
Oakland Raiders
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
2
|
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
8
|
|
NFC
|
|||||||
|
|
Actual
|
Predicted
|
Diff
|
||||
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Washington Redskins
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
-5
|
|
New York Giants
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
0
|
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0
|
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
6
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Green Bay Packers
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
2
|
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
-6
|
|
Chicago Bears
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
1
|
|
Detroit Lions
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
4
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
-3
|
|
Carolina Panthers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
-1
|
|
New Orleans Saints
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
1
|
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
-1
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
|
San Francisco 49ers
|
11
|
4
|
1
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.5
|
|
Seattle Seahawks
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
-1
|
|
St. Louis Rams
|
7
|
8
|
1
|
3
|
13
|
0
|
-4.5
|
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
1
|
I hit on 5 teams's records exactly (New England, Baltimore, Houston, Dallas, and the New York Giants). I was off by 3 games or more for 11 teams. My biggest whiffs were Indianapolis, Kansas City, Washington, Philadelphia, and Minnesota.
Now let's take a look at the playoff teams:
|
2012 Predicted
|
AFC
|
Patriots
|
Texans
|
Broncos
|
Ravens
|
Chiefs
|
Bills
|
|
NFC
|
Packers
|
49ers
|
Falcons
|
Eagles
|
Bears
|
Seahawks
|
|
|
2012 Actual
|
AFC
|
Broncos
|
Patriots
|
Texans
|
Ravens
|
Colts
|
Bengals
|
|
NFC
|
Falcons
|
49ers
|
Packers
|
Redskins
|
Seahawks
|
Vikings
|
I predicted 7 teams would return to the playoffs from 2011. In fact, 8 did (I missed the Bengals). All in all, I correctly picked 7 returning teams and 1 new team (Seattle) for an overall hit rate of .667 (8/12), which would have gotten me into the NFL playoffs in 2012, so not too shabby.
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