Below is the second edition of the NFL playoff power poll. I didn't cull the eliminated teams as while they obviously can't win the 2013 Super Bowl, it was worth stepping back a bit to determine where they stand heading into their off-seasons.
Rank
(Last)
|
Team
|
Record/ Seed
|
Notes
|
1 (1)
|
13-3 AFC1
|
Nothing has changed in one week regarding how I feel about
either the Broncos or the Patriots.
|
|
2 (2)
|
12-4 AFC2
|
Not that it's an against the grain opinion, but I'm not the only
person writing in the Denver-New England AFC Championhsip game matchup in pen
already. Dan Shaughnessy wrote as much in a column for the Boston Globe, and
he's been getting slammed for it on Twitter and by the Houston players and
media. Arian Foster in particular made a few paragrpahs of Shaughnessy's column into his Twitter avatar.
| |
3 (4)
|
12-5 NFC3
|
Am I really bumping up the Packers for throttling a Minnesota
team that started Joe Webb at quarterback? No. I'm bumping up a Packers team
that took a major defensive flaw (handling Adrian Peterson) and corrected it
in a week. I'm also bumping up a team that has easily the best quarterback
remaining in the NFC.
|
|
4 (3)
|
11-4-1 NFC2
|
But this was more of a bump down for the 49ers. The news I keep
reading out of San Francisco about Justin Smith and his triceps isn't
encouraging. It seems like he'll play, but at a level far from 100%. With
Justin Smith, this is a very dangerous defense. Without him? They take a big
step back.
|
|
5 (5)
|
13-3 NFC1
|
I'm still not sold on the Falcons, but this team is going to
spend the entire week listening to how they can't win in the playoffs. How
they keep falling on their faces once the regular season ends. And how they
were blown out of their building the last time they had the #1 seed in the
NFC. Combine all of that with a coach and quarterback combination I trust to
be ready to play, and they won't be an easy out.
|
|
6 (6)
|
12-5 NFC5
|
You can't affix "can't win on the road in the
playoffs" to these Seahawks anymore. Even accounting for RG3's injury
changing the course of the game, Washington went up 14-0 in the first quarter
against a young team starting a rookie quarterback. Do you think Mark Sanchez
or Joe Flacco would emerge from that start without being completely rattled?
Heck no. But Russell Wilson did, and methodically led his team back,
overcoming some missteps along the way. I'd feel much more confident about
their chances this weekend if a) they weren't facing their second straight
cross-country road trip and b) the game wasn't scheduled for 10 AM PST.
|
|
7
(10)
|
11-6 AFC4
|
Looking at these two teams last weekend, it's no contest who
looked like the better bet to spoil the destgined Manning-Brady battle.
Baltimore looked hungry, they looked confident, and they looked a bit
dangerous. Can you attribute much of that to the Colts' limitations?
Definitely. But at least we saw some
fire.
|
|
8 (9)
|
13-4 AFC3
|
By contrast, Houston sleepwalked through their game against
Cincinnati. The Bengals mustered 6 points of offense all game long, and were
borderline incompetent on third down. Yet they were about 30 yards away from
winning the game late in the 4th quarter, because Houston couldn't put them
away. We at least saw a spark from the Ravens last weekend. We saw nothing of
the kind from the Texans.
|
|
9
(12)
|
11-6 AFC5
|
They have the quarterback position settled beyond a shadow of a
doubt. That gives them a big leg up on the remaining competition. As they
continue to add pieces around Luck, they should only get better.
|
|
10
(11)
|
10-7 AFC6
|
Is it time to start questioning Andy Dalton? I'd say instead
there should be some sizeable expectations placed on this team going into
next season. Dalton will need to raise his game for the team to meet those
expectations. I still believe he has it in him, but his play in the last 4
games of the season make it an open question.
|
|
11
(8)
|
10-7 NFC6
|
Both of these final two teams have injuries at the quarterback
position, but Christian Ponder isn't facing 6-8 months of recovery time for
his arm injury.
|
|
12
(7)
|
10-7 NFC4
|
Without RG3 for at least the next 6-8 months, this team takes a
big step back. It's not that Kirk Cousins is a terrible backup, but so much
of Washington's offense is tied to RG3's unique talents.
|
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