Thursday, December 22, 2011

Suck for Luck Picture, Week 15






























































































































Current NFL Draft Order
RkTeamWLTPctSOSConfDiv
1Indianapolis1130.071.5411-91-3
2St. Louis2120.143.5661-100-5
3Minnesota2120.143.5872-80-5
4Cleveland4100.286.4953-70-4
5Jacksonville4100.286.5313-72-2
6Tampa Bay4100.286.5513-72-2
7Miami*590.357.4954-62-2
8Washington*590.357.4955-52-3
9Buffalo*590.357.5003-71-4
10Carolina*590.357.5002-81-3


The first tiebreaker for draft position is strength of schedule (lower SOS gets the higher pick in round 1).
After SOS, the next tie-breakers are conference record and division record. After that it comes down to a coin flip.
*-indicates 2 teams who require a coin flip to determine the order of their 1st round picks

Remaining Schedules:
Indianapolis: HOU, @JAX
St. Louis: @PIT, SF
Minnesota: @WAS, CHI
Cleveland: @BAL, PIT
Jacksonville: @TEN, IND
Tampa Bay: @CAR, @ATL
Miami: @NE, NYJ
Washington: MIN, @PHI
Buffalo: DEN, @NE
Carolina: TB, @NO

I was going to start showing all 20 non-playoff teams in the Suck for Luck update, but that was too much work, so instead I included all eliminated teams, which is a much shorter list as you can see.

A couple of notes:
- Miami and Washington require a coin flip to separate them in the 1st round and Buffalo and Carolina also require one. In each case, it is a coin flip between 2 teams, not all 4 of them.

- St. Louis could easily fall into third place even if they don't win another game. Tehir final two opponents have a combined 21 wins right now, while Minnesota's have a combined 12.

- While Andrew Luck is the grand prize, the consolation prize just got a whole lot less shiny. Today, Matt Barkley decided to bypass the 2012 NFL Draft and return to USC for his senior season. Now the quarterback needy teams who miss out on Luck (and there are quite a few, as has been mentioned here over the last few weeks) have Robert Griffin III (is he a pro-style fit?), Landry Jones (same question, plus his stock took a hit this season, plus he might not come out), and lesser options like Ryan Tannehill, Nick Foles, Kirk Cousins (EDIT: oops, not Drew Stanton, he's already in the NFL) to choose from.

Bottom line, if Indy is considering hanging on to Peyton Manning and trading the Luck pick (bad idea), that pick just got even more valuable.

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