Jacksonville (+13.5) over ATLANTA
Look, Atlanta is a playoff team unless something absolutely crazy happens in these last 3 weeks of the season. Jacksonville is 4-9, and the game is in Atlanta.
But Atlanta has not pulled away and stayed away from a team since week 9 against Indianapolis. Their opponents during that stretch? New Orleans (L), Tennessee (who lost starting QB Matt Hasselbeck for much of the game), Minnesota, Houston (starting 3rd stringer TJ Yates – L), and Carolina. That isn’t a murderer’s row of teams, I’d say New Orleans is the only game the Falcons “should have” lost.
Meanwhile Jacksonville has had exactly 3 of their 13 games decided by more than 10 points, and that includes their 41-14 win over the Tampa Bay Givenups last week. Add in Flacons head coach Mike Smith’s health scare on Sunday and the fact that this game is on a short week, and I just can’t see Atlanta bucking recent history and putting away a team that has no business hanging around with them for 60 minutes.
I believe Atlanta will win this game on their way to the playoffs. I also believe this spread is way too high considering how uneven their offensive play has been over the last month plus.
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