First off, I am splitting the standings posts into AFC and NFC versions.
Secondly, I am adding some information to these posts. The basic information (W/L/T/Winning percentage) is still there of course, as is information that is relevant to tiebreakers (division and conference record, strength of victory and strength of schedule).
I have added information related to each team's Pythagorean record (it's a relationship of points scored and points allowed) and the strength of a team's remaining schedule. Why? The NFL season is so short that it can be hard to see differences between teams via their record alone. If Team A is 4-1 but has played bottom-feeders while winning each game by a field goal, and Team B is 3-2, but has played top teams and won going away, it's hard to see that in the standings. While this information is not at all material to who gets into the postseason, I believe it will help show relative team strength each week, which may help predict who gets the 12 postseason spots.
|
AFC
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
AFC
EAST
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
PF
|
PA
|
Pythag%
|
RoS
SOS
|
||||
|
|
Buffalo Bills
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
1
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.500
|
0.580
|
96
|
89
|
0.545
|
0.432
|
|
|
New England Patriots
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0.383
|
0.410
|
123
|
107
|
0.582
|
0.532
|
|
|
Miami Dolphins
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
0.500
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
0.300
|
0.400
|
96
|
97
|
0.494
|
0.479
|
|
|
New York Jets
|
1
|
4
|
0
|
0.200
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.000
|
0.480
|
79
|
127
|
0.245
|
0.523
|
|
AFC
NORTH
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
PF
|
PA
|
Pythag%
|
RoS
SOS
|
||||
|
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
0.750
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.400
|
0.450
|
97
|
76
|
0.641
|
0.496
|
|
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
0.567
|
0.610
|
116
|
80
|
0.707
|
0.450
|
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
0.367
|
0.380
|
114
|
108
|
0.532
|
0.491
|
|
|
Cleveland Browns
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
0.500
|
1
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
0.300
|
0.450
|
103
|
105
|
0.489
|
0.475
|
|
AFC
SOUTH
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
PF
|
PA
|
Pythag%
|
RoS
SOS
|
||||
|
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
0.267
|
0.470
|
156
|
108
|
0.705
|
0.495
|
|
|
Houston Texans
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.267
|
0.440
|
104
|
87
|
0.604
|
0.441
|
|
|
Tennessee Titans
|
1
|
4
|
0
|
0.200
|
1
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0.400
|
0.610
|
88
|
139
|
0.253
|
0.436
|
|
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
0.000
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0.000
|
0.600
|
67
|
169
|
0.100
|
0.541
|
|
AFC
WEST
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
PF
|
PA
|
Pythag%
|
RoS
SOS
|
||||
|
|
San Diego Chargers
|
4
|
1
|
0
|
0.800
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.388
|
0.460
|
133
|
63
|
0.855
|
0.441
|
|
|
Denver Broncos
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
0.750
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.583
|
0.625
|
116
|
87
|
0.664
|
0.458
|
|
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
2
|
3
|
0
|
0.400
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0.550
|
0.530
|
119
|
101
|
0.596
|
0.500
|
|
|
Oakland Raiders
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
0.000
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.000
|
0.475
|
51
|
103
|
0.159
|
0.613
|
|
x-clinched
playoff spot, y-clinched division title, z-clinched first round bye,
c-clinched conference title
|
|||||||||||||||||
A quick primer on what all of this information is:
Team, W(ins), L(osses), T(ies), and Pct (winning percentage) are all self-explanatory.
The Conference and Division records are separated into separate columns for Wins/Losses/Ties. This was purely a formatting move designed to help me update the tables more efficiently.
PF - Points For (points scored by the team for the season)
PA - Points Against (points scored by the team's opponents for the season)
Pythag% - Pythagorean winning percentage - this is based on PF and PA
RoS SOS - Rest of Season Strength of Schedule
And, because we are a quarter of the way through the season (every team has now played at least 4 games), here are the current playoff standings for the conference:
|
AFC
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
CURRENT
PLAYOFF PICTURE
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
PF
|
PA
|
Pythag%
|
RoS SOS
|
||||
|
|
San Diego Chargers
|
4
|
1
|
0
|
0.800
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.388
|
0.460
|
133
|
63
|
0.855
|
0.441
|
|
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
0.750
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.400
|
0.450
|
97
|
76
|
0.641
|
0.496
|
|
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
0.267
|
0.470
|
156
|
108
|
0.705
|
0.495
|
|
|
Buffalo Bills
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
1
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.500
|
0.580
|
96
|
89
|
0.545
|
0.432
|
|
|
Denver Broncos
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
0.750
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0.583
|
0.625
|
116
|
87
|
0.664
|
0.458
|
|
|
Houston Texans
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0.267
|
0.440
|
104
|
87
|
0.604
|
0.441
|
|
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
0.567
|
0.610
|
116
|
80
|
0.707
|
0.450
|
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
0.367
|
0.380
|
114
|
108
|
0.532
|
0.491
|
|
|
New England Patriots
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0.600
|
2
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0.383
|
0.410
|
123
|
107
|
0.582
|
0.532
|
Interesting bits of information:
- The Bills, Ravens, Titans, and Broncos all see their schedules get considerably easier the rest of the way.
- The Patriots, Steelers, and Raiders all see their schedules get considerably harder from now on.
- It is still early, so a single blowout either way and very much affect the pythagorean numbers, but Baltimore, Indianapolis, and Kansas City all project as considerably stronger teams than their records would indicate. While Cincinnati projects as a bit worse than their record would indicate.
- One note on the pythagorean win percentages: they're not really equipped to predict a team to be winless or undefeated, hence the disparity for the Jaguars and Raiders.
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