Thursday, December 4, 2014

NFL Picks, Week 14 - Thursday Night Edition

This week's NFL TV maps: 506sports

  • The "national" late afternoon game is Seattle at Philadelphia, on FOX.  
  • The FOX early slate, outside of Indianapolis at Cleveland, is absolutely abysmal. 

Dallas (-4) over CHICAGO

I'm simply at the point where I cannot trust Jay Cutler and the offense to look competent for more than a quarter or so of play. I'd love to make an argument to take the points, as both of these teams have been trending the wrong way over the last month. 

Coming into the season, I didn't think the Bears would be very good, but I thought their offense would be great and their defense terrible. The defense is pretty bad but the offense is nothing like it was last season. Which is funny because this offense features 100% Jay Cutler, not 66% Cutler and 33% Josh McCown. The Bears, despite having Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, and Martellus Bennett to catch passes, is averaging a paltry 6.9 yards per passing attempt. That's 8th-worst in the NFL. Of the 7 teams who are worse, only 2 run the ball worse that Chicago at 4 yards per carry. This offense hasn't held up its end of the bargain this season at all. 

While Dallas hasn't exactly been lighting the world on fire recently either, their offensive numbers are much better than Chicago's and their defensive numbers are about the same. Last year I would have said this will be an old-fashioned shootout and it's a coin flip as to which QB makes more mistakes. This season? It's not going to be close. Romo will get time, lean on his running game, and pick apart the bad Bears defense. Jay Cutler will not get time, will chuck the ball all over the field, and Dallas' defense will get a couple of turnovers. 

2014 Midweek Picks: 10-5

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