Suck for Luck Picture, Week 10

Current NFL Draft Order

Rk	Team	W	L	T	Pct	SOS	SOV
1	Indianapolis	0	10	0	.000	.548	.000
2	Miami	2	7	0	.222	.512	.389
3	Carolina	2	7	0	.222	.524	.333
4	St. Louis	2	7	0	.222	.549	.526
5	Minnesota	2	7	0	.222	.580	.278
6	Arizona	3	6	0	.333	.415	.259
7	Washington	3	6	0	.333	.444	.407
8	Cleveland	3	6	0	.333	.458	.179
9	Jacksonville	3	6	0	.333	.529	.393
10	Philadelphia	3	6	0	.333	.531	.370
11	Seattle	3	6	0	.333	.598	.556

For those of you who don't know, the tiebreaker for draft position is strength of schedule (lower SOS gets the higher pick in round 1).

And with the first pick in the 2012 draft, the Indianapolis Colts select...I'm going with Andrew Luck. Peyton Manning could throw a wrench into the works and attempt to push the Colts to trade the Luck pick for a package of picks and maybe a couple players, but if I'm the Colts, I'm not willing to hitch my wagon to Manning considering his age and the fact that he's coming off of a serious neck injury. I don't see them passing on Luck.

After them, Miami is taking the best of the rest of the QBs. Their fans will riot if they don't (and they should).

But then? Carolina (just took Newton #1 overall) won't. St. Louis (took Bradford #1 overall in '09) won't. Minnesota (Ponder #12 overall in '10) won't. Arizona (just paid Kevin Kolb a LOT of money) probably won't. Yes paying Kolb looks like a terrible decision right now, but without a shot at Luck, I don't see them going QB.

Washington will absolutely grab a quarterback. Cleveland probably will. I don't see noted QB guru Mike Holmgren going into another season with Colt McCoy as his only option. That leaves Seattle out in the cold in this scenario, as they would be picking without Luck, Barkley, Jones, and Griffin III on the board. For a team that a) desperately needs a quarterback and b) spent this past offseason trying to shore up every other position in preparation for grabbing their quarterback in this draft, that's not a good scenario.

Luckily for the Seahawks, there are 6 games left, so things could shake out very differently by the end of the season.