AFC
|
||||||||
AFC
EAST
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
z-New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
4-2
|
0.427
|
0.473
|
New York Jets
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.414
|
0.488
|
Miami Dolphins
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
7-5
|
2-4
|
0.523
|
0.523
|
Buffalo Bills
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
0.375
|
5-7
|
3-3
|
0.500
|
0.520
|
AFC
NORTH
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
y-Cincinnati Bengals
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
3-3
|
0.494
|
0.480
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
6-6
|
4-2
|
0.441
|
0.469
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
6-6
|
3-3
|
0.418
|
0.484
|
Cleveland Browns
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
3-9
|
2-4
|
0.477
|
0.516
|
AFC
SOUTH
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
y-Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
9-3
|
6-0
|
0.449
|
0.484
|
Tennessee Titans
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
6-6
|
2-4
|
0.375
|
0.504
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
4-8
|
3-3
|
0.234
|
0.504
|
Houston Texans
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
0.125
|
2-10
|
1-5
|
0.500
|
0.559
|
AFC
WEST
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
c-Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.423
|
0.469
|
x-Kansas City Chiefs
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
7-5
|
2-4
|
0.335
|
0.445
|
x-San Diego Chargers
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
0.563
|
6-6
|
4-2
|
0.549
|
0.496
|
Oakland Raiders
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
4-8
|
1-5
|
0.359
|
0.523
|
x-clinched
playoff spot, y-clinched division title, z-clinched first round bye,
c-clinched conference title
|
||||||||
NFC
|
||||||||
NFC
EAST
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
y-Philadelphia Eagles
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
9-3
|
4-2
|
0.391
|
0.453
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
7-5
|
5-1
|
0.363
|
0.484
|
New York Giants
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
6-6
|
3-3
|
0.366
|
0.520
|
Washington Redskins
|
3
|
13
|
0
|
0.188
|
1-11
|
0-6
|
0.438
|
0.516
|
NFC
NORTH
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
y-Green Bay Packers
|
8
|
7
|
1
|
0.531
|
6-5-1
|
3-2-1
|
0.371
|
0.453
|
Chicago Bears
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
4-8
|
2-4
|
0.469
|
0.465
|
Detroit Lions
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
6-6
|
4-2
|
0.402
|
0.457
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
5
|
10
|
1
|
0.344
|
4-7-1
|
2-3-1
|
0.450
|
0.512
|
NFC
SOUTH
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
z-Carolina Panthers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.451
|
0.494
|
x-New Orleans Saints
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.455
|
0.516
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
3-9
|
1-5
|
0.313
|
0.553
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0.250
|
2-10
|
1-5
|
0.391
|
0.574
|
NFC
WEST
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
c-Seattle Seahawks
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
10-2
|
4-2
|
0.445
|
0.490
|
x-San Francisco 49ers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.414
|
0.494
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
6-6
|
2-4
|
0.444
|
0.531
|
St. Louis Rams
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
0.438
|
4-8
|
1-5
|
0.446
|
0.551
|
x-clinched
playoff spot, y-clinched division title, z-clinched first round bye,
c-clinched conference title
|
||||||||
And here is the final playoff picture:
AFC
|
||||||||
CURRENT
PLAYOFF PICTURE
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
c-Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.423
|
0.469
|
z-New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
4-2
|
0.427
|
0.473
|
y-Cincinnati Bengals
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
8-4
|
3-3
|
0.494
|
0.480
|
y-Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
9-3
|
6-0
|
0.449
|
0.484
|
x-Kansas City Chiefs
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
7-5
|
2-4
|
0.335
|
0.445
|
x-San Diego Chargers
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
0.563
|
6-6
|
4-2
|
0.549
|
0.496
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0.500
|
6-6
|
4-2
|
0.441
|
0.469
|
NFC
|
||||||||
CURRENT
PLAYOFF PICTURE
|
||||||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct
|
Conference
|
Division
|
SOV
|
SOS
|
c-Seattle Seahawks
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0.813
|
10-2
|
4-2
|
0.445
|
0.490
|
z-Carolina Panthers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.451
|
0.494
|
y-Philadelphia Eagles
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
9-3
|
4-2
|
0.391
|
0.453
|
y-Green Bay Packers
|
8
|
7
|
1
|
0.531
|
6-5-1
|
3-2-1
|
0.371
|
0.453
|
x-San Francisco 49ers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
0.750
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.414
|
0.494
|
x-New Orleans Saints
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
0.688
|
9-3
|
5-1
|
0.455
|
0.516
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
0.625
|
6-6
|
2-4
|
0.444
|
0.531
|
We'll get to the playoffs soon, but let's now take a look back on my preseason predictions. Below is a table with each team's actual 2013 record side by side with the record I predicted:
AFC
|
|||||||
Actual
|
Predicted
|
Diff
|
|||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
New England Patriots
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
-1
|
New York Jets
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
-6
|
Miami Dolphins
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
0
|
Buffalo Bills
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
-1
|
Pittsbugh Steelers
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
1
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
Cleveland Browns
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
3
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
3
|
Tennessee Titans
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
-1
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
0
|
Houston Texans
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
9
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Denver Broncos
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
-3
|
San Diego Chargers
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
-4
|
Oakland Raiders
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
-2
|
NFC
|
|||||||
Actual
|
Predicted
|
Diff
|
|||||
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
-5
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
1
|
New York Giants
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
3
|
Washington Redskins
|
3
|
13
|
0
|
9
|
7
|
0
|
6
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Green Bay Packers
|
8
|
7
|
1
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
3.5
|
Chicago Bears
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
Detroit Lions
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
5
|
11
|
0
|
-2
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
5
|
10
|
1
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
1.5
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Carolina Panthers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
6
|
10
|
0
|
-6
|
New Orleans Saints
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
-1
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
7
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
4
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
+/-
|
Seattle Seahawks
|
13
|
3
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
-2
|
San Francisco 49ers
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
11
|
5
|
0
|
-1
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
10
|
6
|
0
|
4
|
12
|
0
|
-6
|
St. Louis Rams
|
7
|
9
|
0
|
8
|
8
|
0
|
1
|
I hit on 4 teams' records exactly (Dolphins, Bills, Jaguars, Broncos). Last year I got 5 spot-on. I was off by 3+ games for 14 teams (last year it was 11). My biggest misses were the Texans, Falcons, Jets, Redskins, Panthers, and Cardinals.
Now let's take a look at the playoff teams:
2013 Predicted
|
AFC
|
Broncos
|
Patriots
|
Texans
|
Bengals
|
Ravens
|
Steelers
|
NFC
|
Packers
|
Seahawks
|
Falcons
|
Giants
|
49ers
|
Saints
|
|
2013 Actual
|
AFC
|
Broncos
|
Patriots
|
Bengals
|
Colts
|
Chiefs
|
Chargers
|
NFC
|
Seahawks
|
Panthers
|
Eagles
|
Packers
|
49ers
|
Saints
|
I predicted (foolishly) that 9 teams would return to the playoffs from last season, when in fact only 7 did. I correctly predicted that the Broncos, Patriots, Bengals, Seahawks, Packers, and 49ers would all return to the playoffs, and that the Saints would join the party. That's an overall hit rate of 7/12 (last year I was 8/12).
